The three-week trough of AI despair

Author: neil.watkins@leadingai.co.uk

Published: 30/01/2026

AI hype Cycle

Why Most Enterprise AI Rollouts Stall After Three Weeks – And What To Do About It

It’s a familiar story in the age of enterprise AI: a new tool launches, initial excitement is high, and dashboards light up with activity. But then, almost inevitably, usage plummets.

Microsoft’s internal data captures this pattern with remarkable clarity. After three weeks of experimentation and delight, most users hit a wall. From weeks three to ten, enthusiasm dips sharply.

Only a minority of users persist long enough to reach a new, more consistent usage plateau around week eleven.

The Anatomy of the Three-Week Trough of Despair

What’s really happening in this trough? The answer is both simple and revealing.

Research from Whatfix, a digital adoption platform, found that most employees approach new AI tools with vague, generic requests like “Help me with this report” and get back equally generic, shallow results.

After a couple of disappointing attempts, trust erodes, users dismiss the tool as overhyped, and usage quietly fades away.

Why “It Didn’t Work” Isn’t About the Tech

When users say, “it didn’t work,” they rarely mean the technology failed. More often, it means the tool didn’t fit naturally into their workflow, or the results were poor or inactionable.

This isn’t a failure of AI capability. It’s a failure of integration and context. As the research shows, most users are left to guess where AI fits in their day-to-day tasks.

And without clear, role-specific use cases and guidance, guesswork kills adoption.

The Intermediate Layer: The Missing Link in AI Adoption

This “intermediate layer” is where most organisations stumble.

It’s not about basic prompting or technical mastery, but about building the judgment, context understanding, and workflow integration skills that turn AI from a novelty into a productivity engine.

Without this, even the best tools fail to deliver lasting value.

Bespoke RAG Solutions: Turning AI Promise into Business Impact

This is where bespoke Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) solutions can make all the difference.

Unlike generic models, RAG tools are designed to connect directly to your organisation’s trusted documents, policies, and data—providing grounded, reliable answers tailored to your business needs.

Key Benefits of Bespoke RAG Solutions:
  • Grounded, Reliable Answers: RAG tools ensure every answer is based on your organisation’s up-to-date knowledge, not just what’s “probably” correct elsewhere. This dramatically reduces hallucinations and increases trust.
  • Task-Specific Efficiency: Bespoke RAG systems are built for targeted workflows—whether supporting legal teams, financial analysts, or social care professionals. For example, North Yorkshire Council’s “Polly” AI delivers instant, sourced answers to over 900 social care staff, freeing up thousands of hours for frontline work and empowering better decisions.
  • Productivity at Scale: When tailored to business needs, RAG tools can turn days of manual research into minutes. Legal firms have used RAG to process hundreds of pages of complex documents in under 20 minutes, a task that previously took an experienced lawyer over 40 hours.
  • Trust and Adoption: By citing sources and providing transparent reasoning, RAG tools build trust among users. Staff are more likely to rely on, and benefit from, AI when they can see exactly where information comes from.
  • Reduced Risk: Focusing on specific business problems and using curated, organisation-approved knowledge bases ensures compliance and reduces the risk of errors.
How to Break Through the Dip: RAG and the Intermediate Layer

To truly realise the value of AI and RAG solutions, organisations must address the intermediate layer:

  • Define Specific Use Cases: Move beyond generic demos. Show people exactly where RAG fits in their workflow, and what “good” looks like for their role.
  • Invest in Intermediate Skills: Don’t just teach prompting basics or technical APIs. Focus on the judgment layer. Shoe people how to decompose tasks, verify AI outputs, and integrate results into real work.
  • Embed RAG in Workflow: Make RAG a seamless part of existing processes, not a side tool that requires extra effort to use.
  • Create Feedback Loops: Encourage teams to share both successes and failures, so learning compounds across the organisation.
The Bottom Line

The three-week dip isn’t inevitable. It’s a sign that organisations are missing the crucial middle layer of AI adoption.

By focusing on integration, context, and applied judgment, and by deploying bespoke RAG solutions that solve real business problems, leaders can turn initial curiosity into lasting transformation.

Have you been through the three-week trough of despair? Want help to get out of the other side and make AI work for your teams? Then let’s talk.